Former President Trump's stance on non-intervention in the Middle East will be put to the test following the unexpected collapse of the Assad regime in Syria. His prior pronouncements on avoiding "forever wars" and prioritizing domestic issues clash with the new reality in Syria, a nation now vulnerable to exploitation by various factions, including terrorist groups.
Trump's recent statement on Truth Social, urging the U.S. to stay out of the conflict, reflects his previous position. However, the swift change in Syria's power dynamics presents a significantly different scenario than during his first term. The rebel group that ousted Assad is currently designated a terrorist organization by the U.S., potentially posing a national security threat and prompting a reevaluation of troop deployment.
The power vacuum left by Assad's departure creates opportunities for other nations and adversaries to exert influence. While the Biden administration has emphasized a supporting role, leaving the future of Syria to be determined by Syrians, Trump's approach remains uncertain.
In 2019, Trump withdrew U.S. troops from northeastern Syria, a decision met with criticism. At the time, the region was relatively stable, with U.S. and allied forces collaborating with the Syrian Defense Force to counter ISIS. The current instability presents a stark contrast. During his 2024 campaign, Trump maintained his "America First" platform, focusing on domestic concerns. However, his transition team has emphasized collaboration with the Biden administration to ensure a seamless transfer of power concerning geopolitical matters.
This second transition has been notably detailed and policy-focused, including cabinet nominations and policy outlines for the upcoming term. Rep. Mike Waltz, Trump's national security advisor pick, has underscored the collaborative approach, stating that they are "one team" with the Biden administration during this transition.
